China on track to control African Tazara railway despite geopolitical needling over control of mineral trade routes | South China Morning Post
Last month, the Tanzania-Zambia Railway Authority announced the news, saying Chinese investors and the CCECC were poised to play a significant role, hence the company’s proposal was “expected imminently”.
Tim Zajontz, a lecturer in global political economy at the University of Freiburg, said while the Chinese consortium will commit to invest in the ailing infrastructure and insufficient rolling stock of Tazara, it was not an aid mission.
“The Chinese investors have made it unmistakably clear in previous negotiations that Tazara is no longer considered an aid project but that it must be a commercially viable venture,” said Zajontz, who is also a research fellow in the Centre for International and Comparative Politics at Stellenbosch University.
Aly-Khan Satchu, a sub-Saharan Africa geoeconomic analyst, said the Tanzania and Zambian governments seemed to be looking for a major revamp of the railway and were happy to concede the running of this line to the private sector.
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“So I expect this to be a revamp, to operate as the concessionaire for a meaningful period of time,” Satchu said.
He also noted Xi’s keen interest in renovating Tazara.
“This railway is a symbol of the Sino-African story and President Xi understands the power of the narrative,” Satchu said.
Xi had promised to renovate the railway when Tanzanian counterpart Samia Suluhu Hassan visited China last year and during Zambian President Hakainde Hichilema’s visit in September.
“China is willing to support the upgrading and transformation of the Tanzania-Zambia Railway in accordance with the principles of marketisation and commercialisation,” Xi said when he met Hichilema.
Tazara is part of the DNA of Sino-African relations, often used to emphasise that China’s dealings with Africa are based on equality, solidarity and anti-imperialism, said Zajontz, whose upcoming book, The Political Economy of China’s Infrastructure Development in Africa, covers the case of Tazara’s planned privatisation.
“Notwithstanding the official rhetoric, Beijing has also keen geoeconomic interests in Tazara’s rehabilitation which would improve the performance of the Dar es Salaam corridor, not least for mining exports from Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.”
When China’s involvement in the Tazara railway began in the 1970s under the leadership of Mao, the country was facing its own financial difficulties.
Meanwhile, Zambia was desperate for a railway link to the Tanzanian coast for its main export, copper. Neighbouring white-controlled Rhodesia – now Zimbabwe – had cut Zambia’s only route to the sea in response to its transfer of power to the black majority.
The United States and Russia both refused to fund a new railway, so China stepped in, building Tazara for about a billion yuan, or billions of US dollars at today’s rates.
From 1970 to 1975, as many as 50,000 Chinese workers were deployed to build the 1,860km (1,155 miles) of track stretching from Zambia’s copper belt to the Tanzanian port of Dar es Salaam on the Indian Ocean.
It remains China’s biggest overseas project to date, and managed to boost Beijing’s political capital during the Cold War.
“Tazara has never reached its full potential,” the embassy wrote on Thursday. “By the end of 1978, only two trains were operating daily.”
“In the 1980s, the United States joined international partners in responding to Zambia and Tanzania’s request to rehabilitate Tazara, with the US government providing over $27 million through USAID,” it added.
Zajontz said the embassy’s post was a great example of how the “great powers” competed for public opinion across Africa.
“Everyone who knows a little bit about Tazara knows that eventually it will be privatised and that the Chinese would not allow a non-Chinese firm to run it – for obvious historical reasons,” Zajontz said.
He added that the tweet showed how “desperate” both China and the West were in stressing how much they had invested in African infrastructure initiatives.
“The US wants to chalk up something on the board and this Lobito corridor is a relatively bite-sized investment – but the US is a Johnny-come-lately and woefully behind the curve,” Satchu said.
Zajontz said the West was keen to control its own transport routes in the region.
“Both the US and the EU want to prevent a situation in which Chinese transport or logistics firms could interrupt critical value chains if prompted as part of geopolitical escalations,” Zajontz said.
“For Beijing, the recent announcement of Western investments along the Lobito corridor has certainly increased the geopolitical incentive to invest in and operate Tazara.”
Emmanuel Matambo, research director at the University of Johannesburg’s Centre for Africa-China Studies, said China understood the ideological and intangible value of Tazara, and so “the concession will not place high demands, if at all, on Zambia and Tanzania”.
As a landlocked country, Zambia in particular had struggled to make efficient use of its neighbours’ seaports and China was alive to that, he said. “The Tazara is more than a railway; it embodies China’s longstanding solidarity with the developing world.”
Matambo added that, unlike Tanzania where the ruling party had a firm hold on the incumbency, Zambia was more politically open and China has wanted to retain Zambia’s friendship through leadership changes. Helping in tangible ways such as reviving the Tazara would boost China’s image in the eyes of Zambians, he said.